China's auto sector
would record widespread declines in first-half profitability due
to substantial price-cutting over the past year, analyst Yale
Zhang of consultancy CSM Worldwide said.
Zhang made the comments after Chongqing Changan Automobile
Co. Ltd., a partner of Ford Motor, and Shanghai Automotive Co.
Ltd., the listed arm of Shanghai Automotive Industry Corp. (SAIC),
both announced Friday that they expected first-half profits to
be down by more than 50 percent.
"Overall prices from last April or May have
been reduced by a lot, there has been a large price war and these
sort of (profit) declines are only natural," Zhang said.
While he is expecting an across-the-board drop in
profitability for the auto sector, he said the declines would
vary from company to company, depending on each firm's key areas
and cost-savings programs.
"For some companies we may see drops of 10-20
percent, but for others we may see much steeper declines (than
those recorded by Changan and Shanghai Auto)."
Zhang, however, said prices were unlikely to come
under further pressure and that more price cuts were not anticipated.
"The pricing situation is now not so serious
and prices are close to customer expectations," he said.
He also said overcapacity concerns were not presently
a great problem, as major producers such as General Motors, Hyundai
and Honda were still operating at full capacity and achieving
sales.
"Currently, I don't think capacity is an issue
yet," Zhang said.
As well as Changan and Shanghai Auto, last
month First Auto Works Corp. which has joint ventures with Volkswagen
and Toyota also said first-half profits would be down by more
than 50 percent.
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